Are radical policies the answer to Labour’s slump?
This was originally published on Political Betting. Despite using Easter to announce several policies, Labour is making little effort to pretend it knows what it would do with power. The party’s...
View ArticleWhy Corbyn was crucial for Labour’s election result
I’ve been on paternity leave since the election so haven’t written much about it. But there are a few things I keep coming back to that I find interesting. First, why was I surprised? Had I predicted...
View ArticleWhy are the Tories now leading? Polling Matters
I was back on Polling Matters this week, talking about why the Tories have moved ahead in the polls, the Salisbury poisoning, Cambridge Analytica and anti-semitism in Labour. The post Why are the...
View ArticleWhat do Labour members think? Polling Matters
On Polling Matters this week, Keiran and I talked about the recent poll of Labour members and what it means for Corbyn’s position. We also discussed recent polling on Brexit, which was more encouraging...
View ArticleClimate change in the election and where the Lib Dems have gone wrong
About 10 years ago I was part of one of the most forgettable election campaigns of all time. A group of us targeted a bunch of swing constituencies aiming to get climate change on the local agenda. It...
View ArticleLabour leadership: past member polls bode well for Keir Starmer
Polling evidence of leadership elections over the last decade suggests party members don’t change their minds much during leadership elections. The candidate who led in the first poll has always won...
View ArticleNew poll puts Starmer close to historical track to Labour leadership
I recently looked at how the first poll in the Labour leadership contest compared with polls in past leadership elections. I found that polls in previous contests have been extremely stable, with...
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